Indawo yaseLos Angeles iphakathi kwentlekele yomlilo ukusukela nge-7 kaJanuwari 2025 esube ubomi babantu abaninzi kwaye ibangele umonakalo omkhulu kwiipropathi ezikuloo ngingqi. Umqhubi ophambili wemililo yimimoya enamandla yaseSanta Ana nangona kunjalo imililo yabangelwa kukutshiswa kwezityalo ezomileyo ngenxa yemozulu eyomileyo kakhulu yendawo. Lo mmandla ubone utshintsho olukhawulezileyo phakathi kweemeko ezimanzi kakhulu kunye nezomileyo kakhulu (i-whiplash yemozulu eguquguqukayo) eziye zakhuthazwa kukufudumala kwe-atmospheric kunye nokutshintsha kwemozulu. Kwinqaku elinxulumene nemozulu, unyaka ka-2024 ibingowona nyaka ushushu kwirekhodi kwaye unyaka wokuqala wekhalenda ukuba ugqithe kumda we-1.5ºC ngaphezulu komndilili wangaphambi koshishino omiswe siSivumelwano saseParis.
Umzantsi weKhalifoniya kunxweme oluseNtshona e-USA uphakathi komlilo omkhulu ngenxa yemozulu embi kakhulu. Ukusukela nge-12 kaJanuwari ka-2025, imililo emine isagquba indawo yaseLos Angeles kunye nemimandla ekufutshane ethe yaxabisa ubomi abalishumi elinesithandathu ukuza kuthi ga ngoku kwaye ibangele umonakalo oxabisa ngaphezulu kwe-150 yeebhiliyoni zeedola. Izilumkiso zeflegi eBomvu ziya kuqhubeka ngolwesiThathu ngokujonga omnye umjikelo wemimoya yaseSanta Ana kwindawo yaseLos Angeles.
Umlilo wokuqala uqhume ngoLwesibini we-7 kaJanuwari 2025 ePalisades owona mlilo mkhulu kulo mmandla kwaye usaqhubeka. I-Eaton Fire yeyesibini ngobukhulu. Yiveki enye ukususela oko kuqale umlilo kwindawo yaseLos Angeles kwaye umlilo wasePalisade, Eaton, Hurst, kunye noKenneth usavutha nangona yonke imizamo yokulawula.
Imililo, kusenokwenzeka ukuba, yavutha kumagqabi awomileyo kunye nezityalo kwindawo ezomileyo kakhulu kwindawo yaseLos Angeles. Yimimoya enamandla yaseSanta Ana eqhuba imililo ukuya kwinqanaba eliyintlekele.
Lo mmandla ububona utshintsho rhoqo phakathi kweemeko ezomileyo nezimanzi kakhulu. Imeko yokugqibela emanzi kakhulu nenemvula enkulu ithethe ukukhula okukhulu kohlaza kwiindawo ezingakwaziyo ukuzinza kwimozulu eyomileyo. Isiphumo sokoma kwamagqabi kunye ne-biomass ivuthelwa lula ukuze ibangele imililo.
Okokuqala, yintoni ebangele utshintsho rhoqo phakathi kweemeko ezome kakhulu nezimanzi kakhulu? Ukufudumala kwe-atmospheric kunye nokutshintsha kwemozulu kubonakala kukhulise iimeko zemozulu ze-whiplash kwihlabathi jikelele. Ngokophononongo olusanda kupapashwa, iimeko zemozulu eziguquguqukayo (oko kukuthi, ukujinga ngokukhawuleza phakathi kweemeko ezimanzi kakhulu nezomileyo ezibizwa ngokuba yi-whiplash yemozulu) zinyuke ngama-31 ukuya kuma-66 ekhulwini ukususela kwinkulungwane yamashumi amabini kunye nokuphuma kwekhabhoni ye-anthropogenic emoyeni. . Ngaphaya koko, ukuguquka ngokukhawuleza kweemeko zemozulu eziye zavela ngokufudumala nokutshintsha kwemozulu akupheleliselwanga kummandla kodwa yinto yehlabathi jikelele.
Kwinqaku elinxulumene nemozulu, iinkcukacha zakutsha nje zicebisa ukuba unyaka ka-2024 ibingowona nyaka ushushu kwirekhodi kwaye unyaka wokuqala wekhalenda ukuba ugqithe kumda we-1.5ºC ngaphezulu komndilili wangaphambi koshishino omiswe ngu Isivumelwano Paris.
Unyaka wama-2024 ibingowona nyaka ushushu kuwo onke amazwekazi, ngaphandle kwe-Antarctica ne-Australasia. EYurophu, i-2024 idlule i-avareji ye-1991-2020 nge-1.47 ° C kunye nerekhodi yangaphambili esuka kwi-2020 ngo-0.28 ° C. Funda aMagqabantshintshi apheleleyo eMozulu yeMozulu ngo-2024 apha: https://bit.ly/40kQpcz #C3S #GCH2024
- Copernicus ECMWF (@copernicusecmwf.bsky.social) 2025-01-10T09:30:00.000Z
Kukho imfuneko engxamisekileyo yamanyathelo asebenzayo emozulu ukunciphisa ukukhutshwa kwezinto ezikhutshwayo.
***
Iingxelo:
- Swain, DL, Prein, AF, Abatzoglou, JT et al. I-Hydroclimate volatility kuMhlaba oshushu. UNat Rev Earth Environ 6, 35–50 (2025). 10.1038 / s43017-024-00624-z
- INkonzo yoTshintsho lweMozulu yeCopernicus (C3S). Iindaba - "u-2024 usendleleni eya kuba ngunyaka wokuqala ukudlula i-1.5ºC ngaphezu komndilili wangaphambi koshishino". Ithunyelwe nge-9 kaJanuwari 2025. Iyafumaneka e https://climate.copernicus.eu/2024-track-be-first-year-exceed-15oc-above-pre-industrial-average
***
Amanqaku afanelekileyo
***
