iYurophu igxadazela ngenani eliphezulu ngokungaqhelekanga le-COVID 19 kwezi veki zimbalwa zidlulileyo kwaye oku kunokubalelwa kukwahluka kwe-delta esosulela kakhulu kunye nokuphumla kwizithethe ze-COVID malunga nokunxiba iimaski kunye nokugcina umgama womzimba. Imeko yongezwa ngakumbi yinto yokuba kukho umahluko kumazinga ogonyo phakathi kwe aseYurophu amazwe. Imeko efanayo iyenzeka e-USA apho abantu abagonywe kabini bayekile ukunxiba imaski kwiindawo zikawonke-wonke. Ukuqala kobusika kula mazwe kubangela ukuba imeko ibe nzima ngakumbi ngenxa yokuvalelwa ngaphakathi. Ngokoqikelelo lwe-IHME, ukubhubha kwe-COVID okonyukayo kulo mmandla kunokuwela i-2.2 yezigidi zamanqaku ngoMatshi ka-2022, ukuba imigaqo ye-COVID ayithotyelwanga ngokungqongqo, kwaye ukunxiba imaski kubonakala ngathi lelona nyathelo libalulekileyo linokuthintela ukufa kwabantu abangaphezu kwe-160 000 ngoku. 1 Matshi 2022.
Sele iphantse ibe yiminyaka emibini oko kwaqala i-COVID-19 e-China kwaye ilizwe liphela lisajijisana nesi sifo ngaphandle kwemizamo edibeneyo ngokubhekiselele kugonyo olungxamisekileyo kunye nokuzama ngamandla ukufumana amanyathelo okulawula isifo esibulalayo. Kutshanje, kuye kwakho ukuphinda kuphinde kubekho amatyala iYurophu kunye noMbindi Asia kwaye oku kunokubalelwa kukwahluka kwe-delta egqithiselwa kakhulu. Oku kudityaniswa yinto yokuba uninzi lwabantu alukagonywa (ukungafuni ukuthatha amayeza). Le meko yongezwa ngakumbi sisimo sengqondo esikhululekileyo ebantwini malunga nokulandela imigaqo ye-COVID yokunxiba iimaski, Ukuncitshiswa kwentlalo, ukuhlamba izandla kunye nokugcina umoya ofanelekileyo weendawo zangaphakathi. Ngokoqikelelo lwe-IHME, ngokwenza imodeli esekwe kwiindlela zangoku, ukusweleka kwe-COVID-19 kulo mmandla kunokuwela amanqaku ezigidi ezi-2.2 ngoMatshi ka-2022, okukhokelela kuxinzelelo olumandla kwinkqubo yezempilo.
Ukuqala kwemozulu ebandayo yasebusika akuncedi nonobangela. Abantu sele beqalisile ukuvalela ngaphakathi (kumagumbi angenamoya ufanelekileyo) ukubaleka ingqele yasebusika kwaye oku kunokukhokelela kusulelo oluphezulu.
Ngabantu bebonke be-~750 yezigidi iYurophu, ngaphezulu kwebhiliyoni enye yeedosi zokugonya sele zinikezelwe, malunga ne-53% yabemi befumana zombini iidosi. Nangona kunjalo, eli nani lifihla umfanekiso ochanekileyo wogonyo kumazwe ahlukeneyo njengakwamanye aseNtshona aseYurophu amazwe afana ne-UK, i-83.5% ukuya kwi-89.8% yabantu abadala bathathe zombini iidosi. Oku kuhambelana ne-56-60 yezigidi ze-67 yezigidi zabantu bebonke e-UK kunye needosi ezimbini, nto leyo eguqulela kwi-120 yezigidi zeedosi ezinikwe e-UK kuphela.
Ukulawula ubhubhane, ukunciphisa usulelo lwentsholongwane ye-COVID-19 yeyona nto iphambili. Oku kunokwenziwa ukuba kwenzeke ngokunyusa ukuthathwa kwesitofu sokugonya kwimimandla apho kuye kwakho ukuthandabuza ngenxa yemicimbi yenkcubeko nokuziphatha, ukuthobela imigaqo ye-COVID kangangoko kunokwenzeka xa ukwindawo zikawonke-wonke, kunye nokubonelela ngeedosi ezomelezayo kubemi abasesichengeni njengabo badala. Ngama-60 nangaphezulu kunye nabasebenzi bezempilo. Ngokutsho kwe-WHO iYurophu Ingxelo, ukunxiba imaski kunciphisa izehlo ze-COVID-19 ngama-53%. Ukongeza, ukuba ukugqunywa kwemaski yendalo yonke ye-95% kuyafezekiswa ukuqala namhlanje, kuqikelelwa ukuba ngaphezulu kwe-160 000 yokusweleka kunokuthintelwa ngomhla woku-1 kuMatshi ka-2022.
Ngokoqikelelo lwe-IHME, ukonyuka kokuthathwa kwesitofu sokugonya kunye nokunxitywa kweemaski sisitshixo sokuthintela usulelo lwe-COVID 19 kunye nokufa ekugqibeleni (jonga kwiTheyibhile I). Izinga lokusweleka ngenxa ye-COVID 19, kulo nyaka uphelileyo, kuwo onke amazwe adweliswe kwiTheyibhile I, ibimalunga ne-0.2% -0.3% yenani lilonke labemi, ngaphandle kweTshayina apho ndingakhange ndibhubhe kakhulu (izinga lokufa le-0.0003%) . Nangona kunjalo, kukho umahluko omkhulu kumanani abantu abagonywe kabini phakathi kwamazwe adweliswe iTshayina iphezulu (75%) ilandelwa yiFrance (69%), i-UK (68%), iJamani (65%) kunye ne-USA (58%). %). Onke la mazwe kuqikelelwa ukuba anyuse izinga lawo lokugonya nge-1-10% ngoMatshi ka-2022. Eyona nto ikhankanyiweyo yiBulgaria neRomania, apho ukuthathwa kwesitofu kumile ukusukela ngoku kude kube ngoMatshi ka-2022. ugonyo lwedosi ezimbini ngoMatshi ka-2022.
Nangona kunjalo, idatha igxininisa ukuba ukubhubha okuqikelelweyo okuqikelelwayo ngenxa ye-COVID-19 kuya kuncitshiswa kakhulu ukuba i-95% yabantu iqala ukunxiba imaski ukusukela namhlanje kwaye babambelele kulo mmiselo ngokungqongqo. Ukongeza, ezinye izithethe ze-COVID-19 ezinje ngokuhlamba izandla, umgama womzimba/uluntu kunye nokuhlala kwiindawo ezinomoya opholileyo kufuneka zilandelwe nazo.
Ukunxiba iimaski ke ngoko sisindululo esiphambili kuwo onke la mazwe kunye nehlabathi eliya phambili, apho abantu bephumla izithethe ze-COVID, ngenxa yokugonywa kabini kwaye ngenxa yenani elincinane lamatyala axeliweyo, anokubalelwa kwiimeko zemozulu kunye/okanye ubume boluntu. .
***
